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Changes for document S2S sub-project on verification and products
From version 33.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/08/24 05:57
on 2016/08/24 05:57
To version 34.1
edited by S2S_ver
on 2016/08/24 06:00
on 2016/08/24 06:00
Change comment: There is no comment for this version
Content changes
... | ... | @@ -97,7 +97,7 @@ |
97 | 97 | **3.2) The pilot real-time sub-seasonal MME prediction in WMO LC-LRFMME** |
98 | 98 | |
99 | 99 | |
100 | -The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:suhee@korea.kr]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies. | |
100 | +The WMO Lead Centre for Long Range Forecast Multi-Model Ensemble ([[LC-LRFMME>>url:https://www.wmolc.org/]]) has recently developed a pilot system for real-time multi-model subseasonal forecasts using real-time forecasts (and hindcasts) from a subset of models contributing to the WWRP/WCRP S2S research project accessible via ECMWF data archive. //**Following [[//**this link**//>>url:http://s2sprediction.net/file/documents_reports/Report_on_subseasonal_MME_in_LC-LRFMME_MAY2016.pdf]] the S2S research community has the opportunity to see the initial developments conducted by the LC-LRFMME and [[(% class="wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink wikiinternallink" %)//**provide feedback**//>>path:mailto:suhee@korea.kr]](%%) for future developments and improvements in this pilot under development system**//. Subseasonal models from four GPCs are currently used: ECMWF, Exeter, Tokyo and Washington. A range of forecast products has been developed including probabilities for tercile categories of weekly averages of 2m temperature and rainfall as well as the MJO and BSISO indices. Verification has also been generated using ROC curves and scores as well as anomaly pattern correlation for a few case studies. | |
101 | 101 | |
102 | 102 | |
103 | 103 | |
... | ... | @@ -503,7 +503,7 @@ |
503 | 503 | |((( |
504 | 504 | [[BoM>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/BoM+Model+Description]] |
505 | 505 | |
506 | -(Coupledocean-atmosphere) | |
506 | +(Coupled ocean-atmosphere) | |
507 | 507 | |
508 | 508 | |
509 | 509 | |
... | ... | @@ -522,7 +522,7 @@ |
522 | 522 | |((( |
523 | 523 | [[CMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/CMA+Model+Description]] |
524 | 524 | |
525 | -(Coupledocean-atmosphere) | |
525 | +(Coupled ocean-atmosphere) | |
526 | 526 | |
527 | 527 | |
528 | 528 | |
... | ... | @@ -552,7 +552,7 @@ |
552 | 552 | |((( |
553 | 553 | [[CNRM>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/Meteo-France+Model+Description]] |
554 | 554 | |
555 | -(Coupledocean-atmosphere) | |
555 | +(Coupled ocean-atmosphere) | |
556 | 556 | |
557 | 557 | |
558 | 558 | |
... | ... | @@ -588,7 +588,7 @@ |
588 | 588 | (20 years) |
589 | 589 | )))|Once a week: On corresponding date to Thursday real time forecasts|4 for each initial date (1 ctrl) |
590 | 590 | |((( |
591 | -[[ECMWF>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/ECMWF+Model+Description+CY41R2]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere) | |
591 | +[[ECMWF>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/ECMWF+Model+Description+CY41R2]] (Coupled ocean-atmosphere) | |
592 | 592 | |
593 | 593 | |
594 | 594 | |
... | ... | @@ -641,7 +641,7 @@ |
641 | 641 | |
642 | 642 | )))|Twice a week: On Tuesdays and Wednesdays|Fixed|1981-2010 (30 years)|10, 20 and end of month|5 for each initial date (1 ctrl) |
643 | 643 | |((( |
644 | -[[KMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/KMA+Model+Description]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere) | |
644 | +[[KMA>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/KMA+Model+Description]] (Coupled ocean-atmosphere) | |
645 | 645 | |
646 | 646 | |
647 | 647 | |
... | ... | @@ -660,7 +660,7 @@ |
660 | 660 | |
661 | 661 | )))|1, 9, 17, 25|3 for each initial date (1 ctrl) |
662 | 662 | |((( |
663 | -[[NCEP>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/NCEP+Model+Description]] (Coupledocean-atmosphere) | |
663 | +[[NCEP>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/NCEP+Model+Description]] (Coupled ocean-atmosphere) | |
664 | 664 | |
665 | 665 | |
666 | 666 | |
... | ... | @@ -676,7 +676,7 @@ |
676 | 676 | |((( |
677 | 677 | [[UKMO>>url:https://software.ecmwf.int/wiki/display/S2S/UKMO+Model+Description]] |
678 | 678 | |
679 | -(Coupledocean-atmosphere) | |
679 | +(Coupled ocean-atmosphere) | |
680 | 680 | |
681 | 681 | |
682 | 682 |